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College Football Computer Rankings Explained

The goal of the computer rankings is to measure which teams had the best seasons. If you are looking to see who is statistically the best team regardless of wins and losses, then the power rankings are the rankings you should look at. However, the reality is teams are going to over perform and under perform and at the end of year, those things matter regardless of how powerful a team may seem. Therefore, teams with lower power scores are often going to find themselves above teams with higher power scores, and vice versa.

The basic formula for these rankings is to award teams points and take away points from those teams based on the power rating of the opponents. While the overall strength of schedule gives you the potential, the final score is based on who the team won and lost against, not a base score of win% vs sos as some computer rankings may do, which leads to problems when it comes to properly weighting these events.

If team A beats team B and team B has a power of 100.00, then team A is awarded 100 points for the game.. If team A beats team C and team C has a power ranking of 55.34, then team A is awarded 55.34 points for the week. The higher power rating of the team, the more valuable it is.

Likewise, losing to a team is also weighted based on the power of a team. The amount of points lost for a week is 100 minus the power score of the opponent. If a team A loses to team B and team B has a power score of 100 points, then 0 points are lost that week for team A. If team A loses to team C and team C has a power score of 55.34, then team A loses 44.66 points for the game. Who a team loses to matters.

Future games which have yet to be played use the computer predictions and awarded half the points for and against a team.

Margin of victory is not directly used in these rankings. However, it is a factor in determining the power rating of a team and has indirect influence.

All FCS teams are automatically worth 0 points. FBS teams have no business playing FCS teams, and winning will give a team a maxium score of 0 points, while losing is a full -100. In addition, FCS teams count as a bye week for the team.

Weekly points are tallyed up and then averaged across the amount of games as to not give teams who play extra games an unfair advantage. Final score is a mixture of the average score and the power rating.

If the team has beaten the team ranked above it, then it will be move ahead of that team even if the score is lower. This process is repeated until there is no longer any movement, so teams are capable of jumping up more than 1 ranking. In the event the teams have played more than once in a season, only the most recent game is used.

These computer rankings are in no way associated with, or used by the BCS rankings system. The forumla used was created by a fan of the game who wants to look at all teams in an unbiased manner and for no other purpose.

If you have any suggestions, comments or questions about these rankings, please use the Contact Us form or add to the discussion below.

Preseason Rankings are done based on the stats of the previous year. There are no human adjustments for things such as coaching changes, player loss and things of that nature. They represent last years teams as if they were playing on this years schedule. While a few quirks may exist, the overall result is usually pretty close.

2014 FBS Preseason Rankings
      Record Predicted SoS Power Points Change Conference
1 Florida St. 0-0 12-0 80.47 100.00 984 - ACC
2 South Carolina 0-0 11-1 94.72 92.86 971 - SEC
3 Baylor 0-0 12-0 71.69 97.62 911 - Big 12
4 Arizona St. 0-0 12-0 74.56 92.06 910 - Pacific-12
5 Alabama 0-0 12-0 70.88 98.41 908 - SEC
6 Ohio St. 0-0 11-1 84.09 94.44 901 - Big Ten
7 UCF 0-0 12-0 71.28 95.24 899 - American Athletic
8 Michigan St. 0-0 12-0 67.18 96.83 875 - Big Ten
9 Wisconsin 0-0 12-0 65.43 93.65 850 - Big Ten
10 Clemson 0-0 10-2 83.47 96.03 815 - ACC
11 Louisville 0-0 11-1 66.01 99.21 788 - ACC
12 Oregon 0-0 11-1 70.50 89.68 783 - Pacific-12
13 Auburn 0-0 9-3 89.96 89.68 748 - SEC
14 Oklahoma St. 0-0 10-2 78.24 88.89 748 - Big 12
15 Bowling Green 0-0 11-1 64.39 88.89 735 - Mid-American
16 LSU 0-0 10-2 75.08 91.27 735 - SEC
17 Stanford 0-0 10-2 79.18 83.33 733 - Pacific-12
18 Iowa 0-0 11-1 65.82 76.19 695 - Big Ten
19 Georgia 0-0 9-3 83.53 87.30 692 - SEC
20 Houston 0-0 11-1 61.91 82.54 692 - American Athletic
21 Oklahoma 0-0 10-2 69.59 84.92 669 - Big 12
22 East Carolina 0-0 10-2 73.87 76.98 669 - American Athletic
23 Michigan 0-0 10-2 70.89 80.95 663 - Big Ten
24 Miami (Fla.) 0-0 9-3 86.80 73.02 659 - ACC
25 UCLA 0-0 9-3 80.62 79.36 639 - Pacific-12
26 Texas A&M 0-0 8-4 88.67 86.51 638 - SEC
27 Northern Ill. 0-0 12-0 41.23 79.36 617 - Mid-American
28 Marshall 0-0 12-0 38.04 84.92 616 - Conference USA
29 Missouri 0-0 8-4 85.80 84.92 611 - SEC
30 North Texas 0-0 12-0 43.17 73.81 609 - Conference USA
31 Cincinnati 0-0 9-3 75.81 78.57 601 - American Athletic
32 Georgia Tech 0-0 9-3 76.98 72.22 584 - ACC
33 BYU 0-0 10-2 59.80 76.19 563 - Independents
34 South Ala. 0-0 11-1 47.87 71.43 545 - Sun Belt
35 Notre Dame 0-0 7-5 95.59 70.64 537 - Independents
36 Southern California 0-0 8-4 81.13 67.46 507 - Pacific-12
37 Kansas St. 0-0 8-4 73.12 81.75 506 - Big 12
38 Vanderbilt 0-0 9-3 66.51 69.84 499 - SEC
39 Washington 0-0 9-4 67.99 76.98 477 - Pacific-12
40 Duke 0-0 9-3 62.77 62.70 443 - ACC
41 Nebraska 0-0 8-4 72.70 65.08 437 - Big Ten
42 North Carolina 0-0 7-5 82.69 65.87 424 - ACC
43 Fresno St. 0-0 10-2 50.94 56.35 420 - Mountain West
44 Texas Tech 0-0 8-4 67.17 66.67 403 - Big 12
45 Western Ky. 0-0 9-3 58.45 57.94 393 - Conference USA
46 Ball St. 0-0 9-3 48.08 75.40 387 - Mid-American
47 Arizona 0-0 7-5 73.98 66.67 364 - Pacific-12
48 Utah St. 0-0 11-2 43.26 52.38 361 - Mountain West
49 Buffalo 0-0 10-2 40.74 59.52 358 - Mid-American
50 Navy 0-0 9-3 54.85 54.76 354 - Independents
51 Boise St. 0-0 9-3 54.73 53.17 346 - Mountain West
52 Mississippi 0-0 6-6 85.25 57.94 323 - SEC
53 Indiana 0-0 5-7 89.85 64.29 294 - Big Ten
54 Rice 0-0 8-4 53.78 63.49 293 - Conference USA
55 Oregon St. 0-0 7-5 71.26 52.38 288 - Pacific-12
56 Mississippi St. 0-0 6-6 77.89 61.11 283 - SEC
57 Toledo 0-0 7-5 61.69 67.46 278 - Mid-American
58 Tulane 0-0 6-6 76.83 58.73 265 - American Athletic
59 Virginia Tech 0-0 6-6 73.13 65.08 264 - ACC
60 Penn St. 0-0 7-5 79.16 55.56 258 - Big Ten
61 Boston College 0-0 6-6 75.21 51.59 225 - ACC
62 Florida 0-0 5-7 84.40 55.56 220 - SEC
63 Fla. Atlantic 0-0 7-5 65.84 45.24 220 - Conference USA
64 La.-Lafayette 0-0 9-3 37.67 50.79 213 - Sun Belt
65 San Jose St. 0-0 8-4 52.95 43.65 207 - Mountain West
66 TCU 0-0 6-6 74.78 47.62 206 - Big 12
67 Pittsburgh 0-0 6-6 67.16 53.97 176 - ACC
68 Texas 0-0 4-8 93.41 50.00 175 - Big 12
69 North Carolina St. 0-0 6-6 70.73 46.03 170 - ACC
70 Middle Tenn. St. 0-0 8-4 46.55 43.65 161 - Conference USA
71 Maryland 0-0 5-7 84.00 41.27 160 - Big Ten
72 SMU 0-0 4-8 92.01 42.06 133 - American Athletic
73 Kent St. 0-0 6-6 69.29 34.92 115 - Mid-American
74 Illinois 0-0 5-7 74.15 44.44 101 - Big Ten
75 Ohio 0-0 7-5 52.41 37.30 90 - Mid-American
76 Troy 0-0 8-4 39.85 38.09 90 - Sun Belt
77 San Diego St. 0-0 7-5 45.26 39.68 48 - Mountain West
78 Utah 0-0 3-9 87.38 49.21 40 - Pacific-12
79 Colorado St. 0-0 8-4 39.00 26.19 36 - Mountain West
80 UTSA 0-0 5-7 63.48 45.24 27 - Conference USA
81 Memphis 0-0 5-7 67.34 37.30 23 - American Athletic
82 Tennessee 0-0 3-9 90.01 35.71 5 - SEC
83 Washington St. 0-0 4-8 78.98 33.33 4 - Pacific-12
84 Northwestern 0-0 4-8 75.64 34.92 -14 - Big Ten
85 Arkansas St. 0-0 7-5 40.50 30.16 -25 - Sun Belt
86 Syracuse 0-0 3-9 81.34 38.09 -48 - ACC
87 Arkansas 0-0 2-10 100.00 25.40 -51 - SEC
88 Connecticut 0-0 4-8 71.57 32.54 -53 - American Athletic
89 West Virginia 0-0 3-9 84.30 30.95 -55 - Big 12
90 UNLV 0-0 5-7 58.98 27.78 -76 - Mountain West
91 Central Mich. 0-0 6-6 47.53 19.84 -103 - Mid-American
92 Wake Forest 0-0 3-9 78.91 22.22 -129 - ACC
93 Kentucky 0-0 2-10 89.59 23.81 -133 - SEC
94 Iowa St. 0-0 2-10 85.09 28.57 -147 - Big 12
95 Akron 0-0 4-8 61.01 26.98 -152 - Mid-American
96 Temple 0-0 2-10 81.42 30.95 -164 - American Athletic
97 Rutgers 0-0 1-11 89.96 36.51 -168 - Big Ten
98 Old Dominion 0-0 5-7 53.45 12.70 -176 - Conference USA
99 Minnesota 0-0 2-10 76.76 34.13 -185 - Big Ten
100 Western Mich. 0-0 5-7 54.68 7.94 -186 - Mid-American
101 Virginia 0-0 1-11 95.36 19.05 -198 - ACC
102 California 0-0 2-10 82.40 15.87 -217 - Pacific-12
103 La.-Monroe 0-0 5-7 44.74 15.87 -227 - Sun Belt
104 UAB 0-0 4-8 54.46 19.05 -232 - Conference USA
105 Tulsa 0-0 2-10 75.19 24.60 -235 - American Athletic
106 Hawaii 0-0 4-9 54.42 22.22 -246 - Mountain West
107 New Mexico 0-0 4-8 52.28 18.25 -251 - Mountain West
108 Army 0-0 3-9 60.27 19.84 -274 - Independents
109 Texas St. 0-0 5-7 37.96 14.29 -283 - Sun Belt
110 Louisiana Tech 0-0 3-9 62.14 11.11 -295 - Conference USA
111 South Fla. 0-0 1-11 79.38 19.84 -311 - American Athletic
112 Georgia St. 0-0 4-8 48.26 9.52 -315 - Sun Belt
113 Colorado 0-0 1-11 77.99 13.49 -347 - Pacific-12
114 Kansas 0-0 1-11 80.80 7.94 -348 - Big 12
115 Wyoming 0-0 2-10 62.87 11.91 -375 - Mountain West
116 Florida Intl 0-0 2-10 66.03 0.79 -396 - Conference USA
117 Nevada 0-0 2-10 55.66 17.46 -405 - Mountain West
118 Purdue 0-0 1-11 74.06 4.76 -410 - Big Ten
119 Eastern Mich. 0-0 2-10 61.46 5.56 -411 - Mid-American
120 Southern Miss. 0-0 2-10 62.26 3.97 -411 - Conference USA
121 UTEP 0-0 2-10 59.20 7.94 -417 - Conference USA
122 Massachusetts 0-0 1-11 67.41 2.38 -468 - Mid-American
123 Miami (Ohio) 0-0 1-11 62.82 1.59 -504 - Mid-American
124 New Mexico St. 0-0 3-9 34.17 6.35 -518 - Sun Belt
125 Appalachian St. 0-0 3-9 37.10 0.00 -522 - Sun Belt
126 Air Force 0-0 2-10 40.33 10.32 -545 - Mountain West
127 Idaho 0-0 2-10 43.06 3.17 -554 - Sun Belt
128 Ga. Southern 0-0 1-11 40.58 0.00 -672 - Sun Belt
2014 Conference Rankings
    Record Predicted Avg SoS Avg Power Points
1 Southeastern Conference 0-0 100-68 84.45 68.59 385.61
2 Atlantic Coast Conference 0-0 98-70 77.22 61.79 285.23
3 Pacific-12 Conference 0-0 83-62 77.16 59.99 264.58
4 Big Ten Conference 0-0 94-74 76.41 58.79 230.75
5 Big 12 Conference 0-0 64-56 77.82 58.49 214.13
6 Independent 0-0 29-19 67.64 55.36 208.92
7 American Athletic 0-0 66-66 75.15 52.67 129.70
8 Mid-American Conference 0-0 81-75 56.36 39.01 -52.42
9 Conference USA 0-0 79-77 55.91 36.14 -80.58
10 Mountain West Conference 0-0 72-74 50.89 31.61 -158.56
11 Sun Belt Conference 0-0 58-74 41.07 21.79 -347.28
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